Insights / us
TPL
Texas Pacific Land CorporationUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.29%
P05–P95 span
21.80%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-0.92%
Outer 90%
3/6(50%)
Middle 50%
2/6(33%)
Above median
5/6(83%)
Below median
1/6(17%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.27%P25: -3.40%P50: -0.29%P75: 2.55%P95: 6.53%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.