Insights / us
TPL
Texas Pacific Land CorporationUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.07%
P05–P95 span
11.98%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-5.84%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.55%P25: -1.98%P50: 1.07%P75: 3.08%P95: 6.42%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.