Insights / us
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.US05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.41%
P05–P95 span
12.81%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.73%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.85%P25: -2.29%P50: -0.41%P75: 1.38%P95: 7.96%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.