Insights / us
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.46%
P05–P95 span
10.54%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-2.81%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.53%P25: -1.58%P50: 0.46%P75: 2.50%P95: 6.01%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.