Insights / us
TLN
Talen Energy CorpUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.70%
P05–P95 span
12.80%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-6.56%
Outer 90%
0/2(0%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.52%P25: -0.93%P50: 0.70%P75: 3.04%P95: 6.28%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.