Insights / us
TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
14.15%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+5.45%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
4/6(67%)
Above median
4/6(67%)
Below median
2/6(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.95%P25: -2.30%P50: -0.25%P75: 1.24%P95: 4.20%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.