Insights / us
TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.40%
P05–P95 span
12.97%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+4.01%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
5/8(63%)
Above median
3/8(38%)
Below median
5/8(63%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.21%P25: -2.51%P50: 0.40%P75: 2.30%P95: 5.75%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.