TGT

Target CorporationUS05/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-1.03%

P05–P95 span

10.86%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.78

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-0.84%

Outer 90%

9/10(90%)

Middle 50%

6/10(60%)

Above median

2/10(20%)

Below median

8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.54%P25: -3.02%P50: -1.03%P75: 0.50%P95: 5.32%

Computed at: 05/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.