TGT

Target CorporationUS04/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.13%

P05–P95 span

9.76%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.80

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-8.54%

Outer 90%

8/10(80%)

Middle 50%

5/10(50%)

Above median

1/10(10%)

Below median

9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.26%P25: -1.36%P50: 0.13%P75: 1.69%P95: 5.50%

Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.