TGT

Target CorporationUS04/15/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+2.73%

P05–P95 span

13.00%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.74

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+5.11%

Outer 90%

7/10(70%)

Middle 50%

6/10(60%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -1.71%P25: 0.65%P50: 2.73%P75: 5.27%P95: 11.29%

Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.