Insights / us
TAP
Molson Coors Beverage CompanyUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.29%
P05–P95 span
35.26%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.29
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+4.52%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
4/5(80%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.52%P25: -2.41%P50: 1.29%P75: 5.42%P95: 24.75%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 16.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.