Insights / us
TAP
Molson Coors Beverage CompanyUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.66%
P05–P95 span
11.28%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+4.36%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
3/8(38%)
Below median
5/8(63%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.02%P25: -0.91%P50: 0.66%P75: 2.96%P95: 7.26%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.