Insights / us
TAP
Molson Coors Beverage CompanyUS04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.94%
P05–P95 span
9.44%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.52%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.54%P25: -0.59%P50: 0.94%P75: 2.89%P95: 6.90%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.