Insights / us
T
AT&T Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.76%
P05–P95 span
9.88%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.22%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.72%P25: -0.03%P50: 1.76%P75: 3.33%P95: 6.16%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 30.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.