Insights / us
T
AT&T Inc.US04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.06%
P05–P95 span
9.00%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.59%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.39%P25: -2.98%P50: -1.06%P75: 0.25%P95: 2.61%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 35.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.