Insights / us
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.US06/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.58%
P05–P95 span
19.81%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+2.36%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
1/1(100%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.01%P25: -1.00%P50: 1.58%P75: 5.42%P95: 12.80%
Computed at: 06/17/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.