Insights / us
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.US06/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.80%
P05–P95 span
8.62%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+3.89%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
3/4(75%)
Below median
1/4(25%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.51%P25: -0.91%P50: 0.80%P75: 2.01%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 06/12/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.