Insights / us
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.45%
P05–P95 span
19.19%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+11.32%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.05%P25: -2.10%P50: -0.45%P75: 0.88%P95: 11.15%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.