Insights / us
SW
Smurfit Westrock PlcUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
16.04%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+1.91%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
2/6(33%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.90%P25: -2.10%P50: -0.12%P75: 2.39%P95: 10.14%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.