Insights / us
STZ
Constellation Brands, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.67%
P05–P95 span
9.07%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+1.50%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
5/9(56%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.72%P25: -0.95%P50: 0.67%P75: 2.04%P95: 5.35%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.