Insights / us
STZ
Constellation Brands, Inc.US05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.13%
P05–P95 span
19.87%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.23%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.87%P25: -2.21%P50: 0.13%P75: 3.23%P95: 11.01%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.