Insights / us
STZ
Constellation Brands, Inc.US04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.34%
P05–P95 span
13.63%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.10%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.26%P25: -2.42%P50: -0.34%P75: 1.50%P95: 8.38%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.