Insights / us
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plcUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.32%
P05–P95 span
10.09%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-2.63%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.12%P25: -3.10%P50: -1.32%P75: 0.54%P95: 3.97%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.