Insights / us
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plcUS05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.20%
P05–P95 span
6.08%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.88
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.62%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.21%P25: -1.33%P50: -0.20%P75: 0.91%P95: 2.87%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.