Insights / us
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plcUS04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.38%
P05–P95 span
20.21%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+24.94%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.49%P25: -0.68%P50: 1.38%P75: 4.03%P95: 13.71%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 33.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.