Insights / us
STT
State Street CorporationUS04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.23%
P05–P95 span
6.70%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.87
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.88%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.55%P25: 0.34%P50: 1.23%P75: 2.60%P95: 5.15%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 26.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.