Insights / us
STT
State Street CorporationUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.82%
P05–P95 span
10.10%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.88%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.14%P25: -4.34%P50: -1.82%P75: -0.13%P95: 1.97%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.