Insights / us
STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.53%
P05–P95 span
15.71%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+2.07%
Outer 90%
3/4(75%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
1/4(25%)
Below median
3/4(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.86%P25: -0.32%P50: 1.53%P75: 4.43%P95: 12.86%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.