Insights / us
STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
15.30%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+7.32%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.95%P25: -2.37%P50: -0.11%P75: 1.49%P95: 4.34%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 38.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.