Insights / us
STE
STERIS plcUS05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.24%
P05–P95 span
17.64%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.85%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.80%P25: -3.06%P50: -0.24%P75: 1.35%P95: 5.84%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.