Insights / us
STE
STERIS plcUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
14.12%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.83%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.04%P25: -0.15%P50: 0.88%P75: 1.97%P95: 11.08%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 32.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.