Insights / us
SRE
SempraUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.51%
P05–P95 span
12.69%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+2.23%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
3/5(60%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.71%P25: 0.42%P50: 2.51%P75: 4.67%P95: 8.98%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.