Insights / us
SRE
SempraUS04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.15%
P05–P95 span
19.93%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.45%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.55%P25: -3.16%P50: -0.15%P75: 2.13%P95: 5.38%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 23.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.