Insights / us
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.US06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.07%
P05–P95 span
17.57%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+3.86%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.77%P25: -2.80%P50: -0.07%P75: 3.14%P95: 10.80%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.