Insights / us
SO
The Southern CompanyUS05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.18%
P05–P95 span
14.59%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.48%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.23%P25: -3.34%P50: -1.18%P75: 0.69%P95: 7.36%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.