Insights / us
SO
The Southern CompanyUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.73%
P05–P95 span
10.79%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.73%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.29%P25: -5.18%P50: -2.73%P75: -0.92%P95: 0.50%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 31.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.