Insights / us
SNY
Sanofi SAUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.85%
P05–P95 span
9.73%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-0.18%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.69%P25: -2.65%P50: -0.85%P75: 0.21%P95: 3.04%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.