Insights / us
SNA
Snap-on IncorporatedUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.07%
P05–P95 span
12.87%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+3.03%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
4/9(44%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.37%P25: -1.26%P50: -0.07%P75: 1.61%P95: 7.51%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.