Insights / us
SNA
Snap-on IncorporatedUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.31%
P05–P95 span
16.62%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.45%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.76%P25: -1.74%P50: 0.31%P75: 1.78%P95: 10.86%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 33.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.