Insights / us
SMMT
Summit Therapeutics IncUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
13.45%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-12.45%
Outer 90%
0/3(0%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
0/3(0%)
Below median
3/3(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.85%P25: -2.28%P50: -0.12%P75: 1.79%P95: 7.60%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.