Insights / us
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.21%
P05–P95 span
12.13%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+18.40%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.49%P25: -3.57%P50: -1.21%P75: 0.06%P95: 2.64%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.