Insights / us
SHW
The Sherwin-Williams CompanyUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.62%
P05–P95 span
9.30%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.62%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.98%P25: -2.44%P50: -0.62%P75: 0.61%P95: 3.33%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.