Insights / us
SHW
The Sherwin-Williams CompanyUS05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.26%
P05–P95 span
18.04%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.57%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.04%P25: -1.56%P50: -0.26%P75: 2.17%P95: 8.00%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.