Insights / us
SHW
The Sherwin-Williams CompanyUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.86%
P05–P95 span
14.07%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.66%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.98%P25: -5.02%P50: -2.86%P75: -1.33%P95: 4.09%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.