SCHW

The Charles Schwab CorporationUS05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.18%

P05–P95 span

8.23%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.84

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-1.49%

Outer 90%

6/10(60%)

Middle 50%

4/10(40%)

Above median

1/10(10%)

Below median

9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.27%P25: -1.78%P50: -0.18%P75: 1.25%P95: 3.96%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.