Insights / us
SCHW
The Charles Schwab CorporationUS05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.16%
P05–P95 span
16.45%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.58%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.06%P25: -0.24%P50: 1.16%P75: 4.07%P95: 11.39%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.