Insights / us
SCHW
The Charles Schwab CorporationUS04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.79%
P05–P95 span
16.68%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.30%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.18%P25: -2.38%P50: -0.79%P75: 1.22%P95: 5.49%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.