Insights / us
SCHW
The Charles Schwab CorporationUS04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.75%
P05–P95 span
11.98%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.64%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.92%P25: -4.34%P50: -1.75%P75: 0.04%P95: 2.05%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.