Insights / us
SCHW
The Charles Schwab CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
11.12%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.80%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.72%P25: -1.65%P50: -0.23%P75: 1.29%P95: 5.40%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.