Insights / us
SBUX
Starbucks CorporationUS05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.53%
P05–P95 span
9.82%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.98%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.07%P25: -3.00%P50: -0.53%P75: 1.22%P95: 3.75%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.